4.3 Probability of a Complementary Event

Learning Outcomes

  • Calculate the probability of a complementary event

Recall operations on fractions

Adding and subtracting fractions with common denominators

ac±bc=a±bc

In the two equations below, note that this relationship is described in both directions.

That is, it is also true that

a±bc=ac±bc

The second equation furthermore includes the fact that

aa=1

Complementary Events

Now let us examine the probability that an event does not happen. As in the previous section, consider the situation of rolling a six-sided die and first compute the probability of rolling a six: the answer is P(six) =1/6. Now consider the probability that we do not roll a six: there are 5 outcomes that are not a six, so the answer is P(not a six) = 56. Notice that

P(six)+P(not a six)=16+56=66=1

This is not a coincidence.  Consider a generic situation with n possible outcomes and an event E that corresponds to m of these outcomes. Then the remaining nm outcomes correspond to E not happening, thus

P(notE)=nmn=nnmn=1mn=1P(E)

scattered playing cards on a table. The Ace of Spades is on top.

Complement of an Event

The complement of an event is the event “E doesn’t happen”

  • The notation E¯ is used for the complement of event E.  Other commonly used notations for the complement of E are E’ or Ec.
  • We can compute the probability of the complement using P(E¯)=1P(E)
  • Notice also that P(E)=1P(E¯)

example

If you pull a random card from a deck of playing cards, what is the probability it is not a heart?

This situation is explained in the following video.

Try It

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