Summary: Two Basic Rules of Probability

Key Concepts

  • If two events are mutually exclusive, the addition rule for probability can be used to determine the probability of the outcome.
  • If two events are not mutually exclusive, the addition rule for probability needs to be modified to determine the probability of the outcome.
  • If two events are independent, the multiplication rule for probability can be used to determine the probability of the outcome.

Glossary

addition rule for probability: if [latex]A[/latex] and [latex]B[/latex] are any two mutually exclusive events, then [latex]P(A \ \mathrm{OR} \ B) = P(A) + P(B)[/latex]. If [latex]A[/latex] and [latex]B[/latex] are NOT mutually exclusive events, then [latex]P(A \ \mathrm{OR} \ B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \ \mathrm{and} \ B)[/latex].

multiplication rule for probability: if [latex]A[/latex] and [latex]B[/latex] are independent events, then [latex]P(A \ \mathrm{and} \ B) = P(A)P(B)[/latex]

sample space the set of all possible outcomes of an experiment