{"id":52,"date":"2016-08-17T17:23:05","date_gmt":"2016-08-17T17:23:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/courses.lumenlearning.com\/americangovernment\/?post_type=chapter&#038;p=52"},"modified":"2016-08-23T23:17:17","modified_gmt":"2016-08-23T23:17:17","slug":"introduction-6","status":"publish","type":"chapter","link":"https:\/\/courses.lumenlearning.com\/suny-amgovernment\/chapter\/introduction-6\/","title":{"raw":"Introduction","rendered":"Introduction"},"content":{"raw":"[caption id=\"\" align=\"aligncenter\" width=\"975\"]<img src=\"https:\/\/textimgs.s3.amazonaws.com\/osamgovt\/m58986\/OSC_AmGov_06_00_Romney.jpg#fixme\" alt=\"Photo of Mitt Romney in front of a crowd, smiling.\" width=\"975\" height=\"520\" data-media-type=\"image\/jpeg\" \/> Governor and presidential candidate Mitt Romney takes the stage in Boston, Massachusetts, to give his \"Super Tuesday\" victory speech (credit: modification of work by BU Interactive News\/Flickr).[\/caption]\r\n\r\nOn November 7, 2012, the day after the presidential election, journalists found Mitt Romney\u2019s transition website, detailing the Republican candidate\u2019s plans for the upcoming inauguration celebration and criteria for Cabinet and White House appointees and leaving space for video of his acceptance speech.[footnote]Erik Hayden, \"Mitt Romney\u2019s Transition Website: Where \u2018President-Elect\u2019 Romney Lives On,\" <em>Time<\/em>, 8 November 2012. http:\/\/newsfeed.time.com\/2012\/11\/08\/mitt-romneys-transition-website-where-president-elect-romney (February 17, 2016).[\/footnote]\r\n\r\nYet, <strong>Romney<\/strong> had lost his bid for the White House.\r\n\r\nRomney\u2019s campaign staff had been so sure he would win that he had not written a concession speech. How could they have been wrong? Romney\u2019s staff blamed the campaign\u2019s own polls. The staff believed Republican voters were highly motivated, leading Romney pollsters to overestimate how many would turn out.[footnote]John Sides, \"The Romney Campaign\u2019s Own Polls Showed It Would Lose,\" <em>Washington Post<\/em>, 8 October 2013; Charlie Mahtesian, \"Rasmussen Explains,\" <em>Politico<\/em>, 1 November 2012. Jan Crawford, \"Adviser: Romney \u2018Shellshocked\u2019 by Loss,\" <em>CBS News<\/em>, 8 November 2012.[\/footnote]\r\n\r\nThe campaign\u2019s polls showed Romney close to President Barack Obama, although non-campaign polls showed Obama ahead.[footnote]Crawford, \"Adviser: Romney \u2018Shellshocked\u2019 by Loss.\"[\/footnote]\r\n\r\nOn election night, Romney gave his hastily drafted concession speech, still unsure how he had lost.\r\n\r\nAs many a disappointed candidate knows, public opinion matters. The way opinions are formed and the way we measure public opinion also matter. But how much, and why? These are some of the questions we\u2019ll explore in this chapter.","rendered":"<div style=\"width: 985px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/textimgs.s3.amazonaws.com\/osamgovt\/m58986\/OSC_AmGov_06_00_Romney.jpg#fixme\" alt=\"Photo of Mitt Romney in front of a crowd, smiling.\" width=\"975\" height=\"520\" data-media-type=\"image\/jpeg\" \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"wp-caption-text\">Governor and presidential candidate Mitt Romney takes the stage in Boston, Massachusetts, to give his &#8220;Super Tuesday&#8221; victory speech (credit: modification of work by BU Interactive News\/Flickr).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>On November 7, 2012, the day after the presidential election, journalists found Mitt Romney\u2019s transition website, detailing the Republican candidate\u2019s plans for the upcoming inauguration celebration and criteria for Cabinet and White House appointees and leaving space for video of his acceptance speech.<a class=\"footnote\" title=\"Erik Hayden, &quot;Mitt Romney\u2019s Transition Website: Where \u2018President-Elect\u2019 Romney Lives On,&quot; Time, 8 November 2012. http:\/\/newsfeed.time.com\/2012\/11\/08\/mitt-romneys-transition-website-where-president-elect-romney (February 17, 2016).\" id=\"return-footnote-52-1\" href=\"#footnote-52-1\" aria-label=\"Footnote 1\"><sup class=\"footnote\">[1]<\/sup><\/a><\/p>\n<p>Yet, <strong>Romney<\/strong> had lost his bid for the White House.<\/p>\n<p>Romney\u2019s campaign staff had been so sure he would win that he had not written a concession speech. How could they have been wrong? Romney\u2019s staff blamed the campaign\u2019s own polls. The staff believed Republican voters were highly motivated, leading Romney pollsters to overestimate how many would turn out.<a class=\"footnote\" title=\"John Sides, &quot;The Romney Campaign\u2019s Own Polls Showed It Would Lose,&quot; Washington Post, 8 October 2013; Charlie Mahtesian, &quot;Rasmussen Explains,&quot; Politico, 1 November 2012. Jan Crawford, &quot;Adviser: Romney \u2018Shellshocked\u2019 by Loss,&quot; CBS News, 8 November 2012.\" id=\"return-footnote-52-2\" href=\"#footnote-52-2\" aria-label=\"Footnote 2\"><sup class=\"footnote\">[2]<\/sup><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The campaign\u2019s polls showed Romney close to President Barack Obama, although non-campaign polls showed Obama ahead.<a class=\"footnote\" title=\"Crawford, &quot;Adviser: Romney \u2018Shellshocked\u2019 by Loss.&quot;\" id=\"return-footnote-52-3\" href=\"#footnote-52-3\" aria-label=\"Footnote 3\"><sup class=\"footnote\">[3]<\/sup><\/a><\/p>\n<p>On election night, Romney gave his hastily drafted concession speech, still unsure how he had lost.<\/p>\n<p>As many a disappointed candidate knows, public opinion matters. The way opinions are formed and the way we measure public opinion also matter. But how much, and why? These are some of the questions we\u2019ll explore in this chapter.<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t <section class=\"citations-section\" role=\"contentinfo\">\n\t\t\t <h3>Candela Citations<\/h3>\n\t\t\t\t\t <div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t <div id=\"citation-list-52\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t <div class=\"licensing\"><div class=\"license-attribution-dropdown-subheading\">CC licensed content, Shared previously<\/div><ul class=\"citation-list\"><li>American Government. <strong>Authored by<\/strong>: OpenStax. <strong>Provided by<\/strong>: OpenStax; Rice University. <strong>Located at<\/strong>: <a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/cnx.org\/contents\/W8wOWXNF@12.1:Y1CfqFju@5\/Preface\">https:\/\/cnx.org\/contents\/W8wOWXNF@12.1:Y1CfqFju@5\/Preface<\/a>. <strong>License<\/strong>: <em><a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"license\" href=\"https:\/\/creativecommons.org\/licenses\/by\/4.0\/\">CC BY: Attribution<\/a><\/em>. <strong>License Terms<\/strong>: Download for free at http:\/\/cnx.org\/contents\/9e28f580-0d1b-4d72-8795-c48329947ac2@1.<\/li><\/ul><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t <\/div>\n\t\t\t <\/section><hr class=\"before-footnotes clear\" \/><div class=\"footnotes\"><ol><li id=\"footnote-52-1\">Erik Hayden, \"Mitt Romney\u2019s Transition Website: Where \u2018President-Elect\u2019 Romney Lives On,\" <em>Time<\/em>, 8 November 2012. http:\/\/newsfeed.time.com\/2012\/11\/08\/mitt-romneys-transition-website-where-president-elect-romney (February 17, 2016). <a href=\"#return-footnote-52-1\" class=\"return-footnote\" aria-label=\"Return to footnote 1\">&crarr;<\/a><\/li><li id=\"footnote-52-2\">John Sides, \"The Romney Campaign\u2019s Own Polls Showed It Would Lose,\" <em>Washington Post<\/em>, 8 October 2013; Charlie Mahtesian, \"Rasmussen Explains,\" <em>Politico<\/em>, 1 November 2012. Jan Crawford, \"Adviser: Romney \u2018Shellshocked\u2019 by Loss,\" <em>CBS News<\/em>, 8 November 2012. <a href=\"#return-footnote-52-2\" class=\"return-footnote\" aria-label=\"Return to footnote 2\">&crarr;<\/a><\/li><li id=\"footnote-52-3\">Crawford, \"Adviser: Romney \u2018Shellshocked\u2019 by Loss.\" <a href=\"#return-footnote-52-3\" class=\"return-footnote\" aria-label=\"Return to footnote 3\">&crarr;<\/a><\/li><\/ol><\/div>","protected":false},"author":18,"menu_order":1,"template":"","meta":{"_candela_citation":"[{\"type\":\"cc\",\"description\":\"American Government\",\"author\":\"OpenStax\",\"organization\":\"OpenStax; Rice University\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/cnx.org\/contents\/W8wOWXNF@12.1:Y1CfqFju@5\/Preface\",\"project\":\"\",\"license\":\"cc-by\",\"license_terms\":\"Download for free at http:\/\/cnx.org\/contents\/9e28f580-0d1b-4d72-8795-c48329947ac2@1.\"}]","CANDELA_OUTCOMES_GUID":"","pb_show_title":"on","pb_short_title":"","pb_subtitle":"","pb_authors":[],"pb_section_license":""},"chapter-type":[],"contributor":[],"license":[],"class_list":["post-52","chapter","type-chapter","status-publish","hentry"],"part":51,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/courses.lumenlearning.com\/suny-amgovernment\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/52","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/courses.lumenlearning.com\/suny-amgovernment\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/courses.lumenlearning.com\/suny-amgovernment\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/chapter"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/courses.lumenlearning.com\/suny-amgovernment\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/18"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/courses.lumenlearning.com\/suny-amgovernment\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/52\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":266,"href":"https:\/\/courses.lumenlearning.com\/suny-amgovernment\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/52\/revisions\/266"}],"part":[{"href":"https:\/\/courses.lumenlearning.com\/suny-amgovernment\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/parts\/51"}],"metadata":[{"href":"https:\/\/courses.lumenlearning.com\/suny-amgovernment\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapters\/52\/metadata\/"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/courses.lumenlearning.com\/suny-amgovernment\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=52"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"chapter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/courses.lumenlearning.com\/suny-amgovernment\/wp-json\/pressbooks\/v2\/chapter-type?post=52"},{"taxonomy":"contributor","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/courses.lumenlearning.com\/suny-amgovernment\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/contributor?post=52"},{"taxonomy":"license","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/courses.lumenlearning.com\/suny-amgovernment\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/license?post=52"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}