## Skills

- Marko currently has 20 tulips in his yard. Each year he plants 5 more.
- Write a recursive formula for the number of tulips Marko has
- Write an explicit formula for the number of tulips Marko has

- Pam is a Disc Jockey. Every week she buys 3 new albums to keep her collection current. She currently owns 450 albums.
- Write a recursive formula for the number of albums Pam has
- Write an explicit formula for the number of albums Pam has

- A store’s sales (in thousands of dollars) grow according to the recursive rule [latex]P_n=P_{n-1}+15[/latex], with initial population [latex]P_0=40[/latex].
- Calculate [latex]P_1[/latex] and [latex]P_2[/latex]
- Find an explicit formula for [latex]P_n[/latex]
- Use your formula to predict the store’s sales in 10 years
- When will the store’s sales exceed $100,000?

- The number of houses in a town has been growing according to the recursive rule[latex]P_n=P_{n-1}+30[/latex], with initial population [latex]P_0=200[/latex].
- Calculate [latex]P_1[/latex] and [latex]P_2[/latex]
- Find an explicit formula for [latex]P_n[/latex]
- Use your formula to predict the number of houses in 10 years
- When will the number of houses reach 400 houses?

- A population of beetles is growing according to a linear growth model. The initial population (week 0) was [latex]P_0=3[/latex], and the population after 8 weeks is [latex]P_8=67[/latex].
- Find an explicit formula for the beetle population in week n
- After how many weeks will the beetle population reach 187?

- The number of streetlights in a town is growing linearly. Four months ago (
*n*= 0) there were 130 lights. Now (*n*= 4) there are 146 lights. If this trend continues,- Find an explicit formula for the number of lights in month
*n* - How many months will it take to reach 200 lights?

- Find an explicit formula for the number of lights in month
- Tacoma’s population in 2000 was about 200 thousand, and had been growing by about 9% each year.
- Write a recursive formula for the population of Tacoma
- Write an explicit formula for the population of Tacoma
- If this trend continues, what will Tacoma’s population be in 2016?
- When does this model predict Tacoma’s population to exceed 400 thousand?

- Portland’s population in 2007 was about 568 thousand, and had been growing by about 1.1% each year.
- Write a recursive formula for the population of Portland
- Write an explicit formula for the population of Portland
- If this trend continues, what will Portland’s population be in 2016?
- If this trend continues, when will Portland’s population reach 700 thousand?

- Diseases tend to spread according to the exponential growth model. In the early days of AIDS, the growth rate was around 190%. In 1983, about 1700 people in the U.S. died of AIDS. If the trend had continued unchecked, how many people would have died from AIDS in 2005?
- The population of the world in 1987 was 5 billion and the annual growth rate was estimated at 2 percent per year. Assuming that the world population follows an exponential growth model, find the projected world population in 2015.
- A bacteria culture is started with 300 bacteria. After 4 hours, the population has grown to 500 bacteria. If the population grows exponentially,
- Write a recursive formula for the number of bacteria
- Write an explicit formula for the number of bacteria
- If this trend continues, how many bacteria will there be in 1 day?
- How long does it take for the culture to triple in size?

- A native wolf species has been reintroduced into a national forest. Originally 200 wolves were transplanted. After 3 years, the population had grown to 270 wolves. If the population grows exponentially,
- Write a recursive formula for the number of wolves
- Write an explicit formula for the number of wolves
- If this trend continues, how many wolves will there be in 10 years?
- If this trend continues, how long will it take the population to grow to 1000 wolves?

- One hundred trout are seeded into a lake. Absent constraint, their population will grow by 70% a year. The lake can sustain a maximum of 2000 trout. Using the logistic growth model,
- Write a recursive formula for the number of trout
- Calculate the number of trout after 1 year and after 2 years.

- Ten blackberry plants started growing in my yard. Absent constraint, blackberries will spread by 200% a month. My yard can only sustain about 50 plants. Using the logistic growth model,
- Write a recursive formula for the number of blackberry plants in my yard
- Calculate the number of plants after 1, 2, and 3 months

- In 1968, the U.S. minimum wage was $1.60 per hour. In 1976, the minimum wage was $2.30 per hour. Assume the minimum wage grows according to an exponential model where
*n*represents the time in years after 1960.- Find an explicit formula for the minimum wage.
- What does the model predict for the minimum wage in 1960?
- If the minimum wage was $5.15 in 1996, is this above, below or equal to what the model predicts?

## Concepts

- The population of a small town can be described by the equation [latex]P_n=4000+70n[/latex], where
*n*is the number of years after 2005. Explain in words what this equation tells us about how the population is changing. - The population of a small town can be described by the equation [latex]P_n=4000(1.04)n[/latex], where
*n*is the number of years after 2005. Explain in words what this equation tells us about how the population is changing.

## Exploration

*Most of the examples in the text examined growing quantities, but linear and exponential equations can also describe decreasing quantities, as the next few problems will explore.*

- A new truck costs $32,000. The car’s value will depreciate over time, which means it will lose value. For tax purposes, depreciation is usually calculated linearly. If the truck is worth $24,500 after three years, write an explicit formula for the value of the car after
*n*years. - Inflation causes things to cost more, and for our money to buy less (hence your grandparents saying, “In my day, you could buy a cup of coffee for a nickel”). Suppose inflation decreases the value of money by 5% each year. In other words, if you have $1 this year, next year it will only buy you $0.95 worth of stuff. How much will $100 buy you in 20 years?
- Suppose that you have a bowl of 500 M&M candies, and each day you eat ¼ of the candies you have. Is the number of candies left changing linearly or exponentially? Write an equation to model the number of candies left after
*n*days. - A warm object in a cooler room will decrease in temperature exponentially, approaching the room temperature according to the formula [latex]T_n=a(1-r)^n+T_r[/latex]
*,*where [latex]T_n[/latex] is the temperature after_{ }*n*minutes,*r*is the rate at which temperature is changing,*a*is a constant, and [latex]T_r[/latex] is the temperature of the room. Forensic investigators can use this to predict the time of death of a homicide victim. Suppose that when a body was discovered (*n =*0) it was 85 degrees. After 20 minutes, the temperature was measured again to be 80 degrees. The body was in a 70 degree room.- Use the given information with the formula provided to find a formula for the temperature of the body.
- When did the victim die, if the body started at 98.6 degrees?

- Recursive equations can be very handy for modeling complicated situations for which explicit equations would be hard to interpret. As an example, consider a lake in which 2000 fish currently reside. The fish population grows by 10% each year, but every year 100 fish are harvested from the lake by people fishing.
- Write a recursive equation for the number of fish in the lake after
*n*years. - Calculate the population after 1 and 2 years. Does the population appear to be increasing or decreasing?
- What is the maximum number of fish that could be harvested each year without causing the fish population to decrease in the long run?

- Write a recursive equation for the number of fish in the lake after
- The number of Starbucks stores grew after they first opened. The number of stores from 1990-2007, as reported on their corporate website
^{[1]}, is shown below.- Carefully plot the data. Does is appear to be changing linearly or exponentially?
- Try finding an equation to model the data by picking two points to work from. How well does the equation model the data?
- Try using an equation of the form [latex]P_n=P_0n^k[/latex], where
*k*is a constant, to model the data. This type of model is called a Power model. Compare your results to the results from part b.*Note: to use this model, you will need to have 1990 correspond with n = 1 rather than n = 0.*

Year | Number of Starbucks stores | Year | Number of Starbucks stores | |

1990 | 84 | 1999 | 2498 | |

1991 | 116 | 2000 | 3501 | |

1992 | 165 | 2001 | 4709 | |

1993 | 272 | 2002 | 5886 | |

1994 | 425 | 2003 | 7225 | |

1995 | 677 | 2004 | 8569 | |

1996 | 1015 | 2005 | 10241 | |

1997 | 1412 | 2006 | 12440 | |

1998 | 1886 | 2007 | 15756 |

- Thomas Malthus was an economist who put forth the principle that population grows based on an exponential growth model, while food and resources grow based on a linear growth model. Based on this, Malthus predicted that eventually demand for food and resources would out outgrow supply, with doom-and-gloom consequences. Do some research about Malthus to answer these questions.
- What societal changes did Malthus propose to avoid the doom-and-gloom outcome he was predicting?
- Why do you think his predictions did not occur?
- What are the similarities and differences between Malthus’s theory and the logistic growth model?

Download the assignment from one of the links below (.docx or .rtf):

Growth Models Problem Set: Word Document

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- http://www.starbucks.com/aboutus/Company_Timeline.pdf retrieved May 2009 ↵