Answers to Selected Exercises

Continuous Probability Functions

1. Uniform Distribution

3. Normal Distribution

5. P(6 < x < 7)

7. 1

9. 0

11. 1

13. 0.625

15. The probability is equal to the area from x = 3232 to x = 4 above the x-axis and up to f(x) = 1313.

17. Age is a measurement, regardless of the accuracy used.

21. It means that the value of x is just as likely to be any number between 1.5 and 4.5.

23. 1.5 ≤ x ≤ 4.5

25. 0.3333

27. 0

29. 0.6

31. b is 12, and it represents the highest value of x.

33. 6

35.

This graph shows a uniform distribution. The horizontal axis ranges from 0 to 12. The distribution is modeled by a rectangle extending from x = 0 to x = 12. A region from x = 9 to x = 12 is shaded inside the rectangle.

37. 4.8

39. X = The age (in years) of cars in the staff parking lot

41. 0.5 to 9.5

43. f(x) = 1919 where x is between 0.5 and 9.5, inclusive.

45. μ = 5

47.

  1. Check student’s solution.
  2. 3.573.57

49.

  1. Check student’s solution.
  2. k = 7.25
  3. 7.25

51.

  1. X ~ U(1, 9)
  2. Check student’s solution.
  3. f(x) = 1818 where 1x9
  4. 5
  5. 2.3
  6. 15321532
  7. 333800333800
  8. 2323
  9. 8.2

53.

  1. X represents the length of time a commuter must wait for a train to arrive on the Red Line.
  2. X ~ U(0, 8)
  3. f(x)=18f(x)=18 where ≤ x ≤ 8
  4. 4
  5. 2.31
  6. 1818
  7. 1818
  8. 3.2

55. 4

57. 0.25

59.

  1. The probability density function of X is 12516=1912516=19 P(X > 19) = (25 – 19) (19)=69=23(19)=69=23

2.P(19 < X < 22) = (22 – 19) (19)=39=13(19)=39=13

3.The area must be 0.25, and 0.25 = (width)(19)(19) so width = (0.25)(9) = 2.25. Thus, the value is 25 – 2.25 = 22.75.

4. This is a conditional probability question. P(x > 21| x > 18). You can do this two ways:

  • Draw the graph where a is now 18 and b is still 25. The height is 1(2518)=171(2518)=17 So, P(x > 21|x > 18) = (25 – 21)(17)=47(17)=47
  • Use the formula: P(x > 21|x > 18) =P(x>21andx>18)P(x>18)=P(x>21)P(x>18)=47P(x>21andx>18)P(x>18)=P(x>21)P(x>18)=47

63. No, outcomes are not equally likely. In this distribution, more people require a little bit of time, and fewer people require a lot of time, so it is more likely that someone will require less time.

65. 5

67. f(x)=0.2e0.2xf(x)=0.2e0.2x

69. 0.5350

71. 6.02

73. f(x)=0.75e0.75xf(x)=0.75e0.75x

75.

This graph shows an exponential distribution. The graph slopes downward. It begins at the point (0, 0.75) on the y-axis and approaches the x-axis at the right edge of the graph. The decay parameter, m, equals 0.75.

77. 0.4756

79. The mean is larger. The mean is 1m=10.75=1.331m=10.75=1.33

81. continuous

83. m = 0.000121

85.

  1. Check student’s solution
  2. P(x < 5,730) = 0.5001

87.

  1. Check student’s solution.
  2. k = 2947.73

89.

  1. X = the useful life of a particular car battery, measured in months.
  2. X is continuous.
  3. X ~ Exp(0.025)
  4. 40 months
  5. 360 months
  6. 0.4066
  7. 14.27

91.

  1. X = the time (in years) after reaching age 60 that it takes an individual to retire
  2. X is continuous.
  3. X ~ Exp(15)(15)
  4. five
  5. five
  6. Check student’s solution.
  7. 0.1353
  8. before
  9. 18.3

93. 0.3333

95. 2.0794

97.

Let T = the life time of a light bulb.

1.The decay parameter is m = 1/8, and T ∼ Exp(1/8). The cumulative distribution function is P(T<t) = 1-et8et8≈ 0.1175.

2.We want to find P(6 < t < 10),To do this, P(6 < t < 10) – P(t < 6)= (1et810)(1et86)(1et810)(1et86)≈ 0.7135 – 0.5276 = 0.1859

3. We want to find 0.70 =P(T>t)=1-1(1et8)=et81(1et8)=et8. et8=0.70et8=0.70, so t8t8=ln(0.70)≈ 2.85 years.99.

Let X = the number of no-hitters throughout a season. Since the duration of time between no-hitters is exponential, the number of no-hitters per season is Poisson with mean λ = 3.

Therefore, (X = 0) =30e30!=e330e30!=e3≈ 0.0498

 NOTE

You could let T = duration of time between no-hitters. Since the time is exponential and there are 3 no-hitters per season, then the time between no-hitters is 13 season. For the exponential, µ = 13.

Therefore, m = 1μ1μ = 3 and T ∼ Exp(3).
The desired probability is P(T > 1) = 1 – P(T < 1) = 1 – (1 – e3e3) = e3e3 ≈ 0.0498. Let T = duration of time between no-hitters. We find P(T > 2|T > 1), and by the memoryless property this is simply P(T > 1), which we found to be 0.0498 in part a.
Let X = the number of no-hitters is a season. Assume that X is Poisson with mean λ = 3. Then P(X > 3) = 1 – P(X ≤ 3) = 0.3528.

101.

  1. 10091009 = 11.11
  2. P(X > 10) = 1 – P(X ≤ 10) = 1 – Poissoncdf(11.11, 10) ≈ 0.5532.
  3. The number of people with Type B blood encountered roughly follows the Poisson distribution, so the number of people X who arrive between successive Type B arrivals is roughly exponential with mean μ = 9 and m =1919
  4. The cumulative distribution function of X is P(X<x)=1 – ex9ex9), thus P(X > 20) = 1 – P(X ≤ 20) = 1 – (e209e209)≈0.1084.
    NOTE We could also deduce that each person arriving has a 8/9 chance of not having Type B blood.
    So the probability that none of the first 20 people arrive have Type B blood is (89)20(89)20.
    (The geometric distribution is more appropriate than the exponential because the number of people between Type B people is discrete instead of continuous.).